Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.012535 0.015301 0.018800 0.023657 0.030412 0.039773 0.054322
2025-02-23 0.009101 0.012128 0.016484 0.023563 0.035562 0.056905 0.103382
2025-03-02 0.007142 0.010005 0.014451 0.022427 0.037904 0.071178 0.169049
2025-03-09 0.006007 0.008734 0.013224 0.021935 0.040893 0.089461 0.287050
2025-03-16 0.005344 0.008032 0.012697 0.022448 0.046230 0.119968 0.578116
2025-03-23 0.004784 0.007380 0.012078 0.022517 0.050629 0.155079 1.227503
2025-03-30 0.004226 0.006634 0.011117 0.021510 0.051575 0.180246 2.355224
2025-04-06 0.003821 0.006100 0.010459 0.020997 0.053794 0.217688 5.937210
2025-04-13 0.003583 0.005833 0.010282 0.021606 0.060302 0.300433 46.395690
2025-04-20 0.003456 0.005755 0.010481 0.023275 0.072463 0.488502 NaN
2025-04-27 0.003296 0.005591 0.010456 0.024325 0.083497 0.770834 NaN
2025-05-04 0.003098 0.005323 0.010150 0.024445 0.090526 1.107860 NaN
2025-05-11 0.002888 0.005038 0.009823 0.024643 0.100232 1.844223 NaN
2025-05-18 0.002683 0.004742 0.009427 0.024529 0.108967 3.194328 NaN
2025-05-25 0.002456 0.004371 0.008784 0.023329 0.109088 4.411186 NaN
2025-06-01 0.002286 0.004105 0.008364 0.022810 0.114202 7.690489 NaN
2025-06-08 0.002178 0.003961 0.008234 0.023351 0.129896 25.879141 NaN
2025-06-15 0.002064 0.003791 0.008005 0.023425 0.142400 130.132571 NaN
2025-06-22 0.001922 0.003546 0.007539 0.022362 0.141450 408.228563 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001812 0.003363 0.007216 0.021821 0.146229 26076.475927 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001749 0.003281 0.007164 0.022463 0.168553 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.001720 0.003277 0.007333 0.024225 0.216432 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.001674 0.003226 0.007358 0.025334 0.262836 NaN NaN